Of the Utes chances, he wrote, “Utah’s situation is similar to Colorado’s. First things first, it needs to win its final two games. If it does that, it wins the Pac-12 South. Then if it wins the Pac-12 title game (against either No. 5 Washington or No. 22 Washington State), it will finish as an 11-2 Pac-12 champion with three wins over ranked teams.
He then looks at scenarios from the other conferences that would help the Utes, saying, “Utah would be better off if Oklahoma State were to win the Big 12, as I think its résumé compares better with the Cowboys than either a Big 12 champion Sooners or Mountaineers team. If Alabama wins the SEC, Michigan or Ohio State wins the Big Ten and either Clemson or Louisville don’t win the ACC, that helps as well.”
He finishes by giving the Utes a 20 percent chance of making it to the playoff.